Two New Deals from First Data and TNS Inc.

Two new deals, from First Data and TNS Inc.

First Data Corp.’s TeleCheck Services Inc. unit has bought ClearCheck Inc., which sells and services return check management systems, for an undisclosed sum. The ClearCheck business will become part of First Data’s Commercial Services division. (Contact: First Data, 713-331-7359)

TNS Inc. was tendered a non-binding buy-out proposal on March 13, 2006, from a management group led by Chairman and Chief Executive John J. McDonnell Jr. at $22 a share in cash, or about $527 million. Capital IQ rates TNS’s enterprise value at $579 million. The company has formed a Special Committee of its Board of Directors to negotiate the deal, and hired Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. as its financial advisor. A class action suit was filed on March 13 against TNS and its directors trying to enjoin the deal on grounds that TNS’s directors violated their fiduciary duties in the deal. TNS operates computer networks, including ATM networks. (Contact: TNS Inc., 703-453-8509)

New Products and Services from American Express, Visa and More

New products and services from American Express, First Data, Visa USA, and more.

American Express Co. says that this year, the IRS will allow businesses to pay balances-due on their federal business taxes (Form 940, annual employment, and Form 941, quarterly employment business taxes) with an American Express Card. Businesses get double rewards from Delta Airlines and Starwood Hotels when they pay their taxes this way. (Contact American Express Co., 212-640-5503)

Commerciant LP launched a new device it calls the Mobilescape 5000, a wireless handheld device that accepts and processes both checks and credit cards. (Contact: Commerciant LP, 713-725-5526)

The Financial Services Technology Consortium says it’s completed setting interoperability standards for banks to adopt when they communicate about fraudulent checks. More information on the Check Security Features project is available at www.fstc.org. (Contact : Financial Services Technology Consortium, 781-235-3424)

First Data International says it signed new card -rocessing contracts with Bank of Bahamas, Fidelity Bank and the New England Bankcard Association. (Contact: First Data International, 321-263-3838)

Globalive Communications Corp.’s Assemble Conferencing unit, and Enunciate Conferencing, have jointly launched a dual prepaid conferencing and long-distance calling card. (Contact: Assemble Conferencing, 416-204-0251; Enunciate Corp., 416- 516-5173)

Hypercom Corp. says that U.S. Bankcard Services Inc. will be using Hypercom’s multilanguage point-of-sale terminal, featuring Chinese and English graphics and text. (Contact: 602-504-5383; US Bankcard Services Inc., 888-468-1155)

Mall Networks Inc. says it’s launched an online shopping mall platform designed for affinity rewards programs. (Contact: Mall Networks, 608-225-5476)

NCR Corp. says China’s CITIC Bank gave it an order for various NCR ATMs, as well as a maintenance contract for the bank’s 1,000 ATMs. (Contact: NCR Corp., 937-445-3784)

Open Solutions Inc. says $2.4 billion Beal Savings Bank will be using Open Solutions’ core processing system on an outsourced basis. Beal’s main business is customized commercial real estate loans averaging $12.5 million. Separately, Open Solutions says The Simsbury Bank is now using its electronic cash letter settlement product. (Contact: Open Solutions Inc., 860-652-3153)

Princeton eCom says that Veridian Credit Union and Utah Community Credit Union are using its PayAnyone electronic payment product. (Contact: Princeton eCom, 609-606-3130)

SAS says that $15.7 billion Sky Financial Group is using SAS’s Anti-Money Laundering product to comply with the USA PATRIOT Act.  (Contact: SAS, 919-531-0624)

Sify Ltd., an Indian telecom provider, says it’s launched a mobile payments network in association with JiGrahak, which has a mobile payments platform called NGPay. (Contact: Sify Ltd. 91-44-2254 0770)

Visa USA says it’s launching the Visa Prepaid Load Network; consumers can use it in the United States at the point of sale to buy and add funds to their reloadable Visa prepaid cards. Separately, Visa says it’s launched the Contactless Mini Card, which is about half the size of an ordinary credit card. (Contact: Visa USA, 415-932-2350)

Wincor Nixdorf says that Balducci’s will be using Wincor’s point of sale software, chain-wide. Balducci’s, once a fabled New York speciality food retailer, is now owned by an investor group led by Bear, Stearns.(Contact: Wincor Nixdorf Inc., 512-252-5673)

Banking Continues to Become More Rewarding

Nationalcity_points_logoOne thing about operating in competitive markets, when one player hits on a good idea, it’s not long before others follow suit.

It looks like National City <nationalcity.com> wins the honor of first-to-copy-Citi-Thankyou-Points. The Cleveland-based bank today unveiled its comprehensive Points program <nationalcity.com/points> with a multi-media barrage including television, print, billboard, and transit ads. Its website includes a large, animated points-gathering graphic in the upper right (see the series below).

Nationalcity_points_homepage_1  Nationalcity_points_homepage_2 Nationalcity_points_homepage_3

With rewards ranging from a $5 Starbucks card (2000 points) to cruises (420,000 points), there is something for everyone. The standard domestic round-trip air ticket runs 100,000 points. The program covers both personal and business accounts allowing, according to the company, a typical business owner to amass 140,000 points per year across both personal and business accounts.

The program revolves around spending, paying two points per $1 spent on a National City credit, signature debit card, or line of credit. Card customers can also earn five points per dollar once they surpass $5000 in annual spending, enough to earn round-trip airfare with every $20,000 spent.

Nationalcity_points_tableChecking account customers also earn 25 points per bill payment, PIN-debit purchase, paper check, or direct debit (ACH) transaction. The 25-point transactions are capped at 500 points per month, the equivalent of $250 in credit card spending. There are also 5000-point bonuses for new accounts including online bill payment (click on the table for details). 

Analysis
While the program is primarily a card-based rewards program, it’s good to see online bill payment included, even at minimal points levels. A typical household paying eight bills online per month would earn enough for a grande mocha at Starbucks, about once every 10 or 11 months. It’s not a lot, but we believe it’s enough to matter, especially combined with the other reward opportunities.

Nationalcity_points_mainHowever, we believe the bank erred in including paper checks in the program. Clearly, the points are about rewarding the use of electronic payments and transactions, especially those that lead to credit balances. In throwing a bone to traditional check writers, the bank eliminates much of the incentive to migrate transactions to electronic channels, since the 500-point monthly cap means that once someone writes 20 paper checks (at 25 points each), there are essentially no points for electronic transactions.

Users can sign up for a monthly email update on their points balance. The bank makes it easy with a one-line entry form on the main "Points" page (click on inset for a closeup). After inputting their email address, users are sent to a short form to add their full name and card number.

For more information on rewards programs, click here for previous NetBanker articles.

Paper Checks Remain “Business as Usual”

BizchecksWhen the last paper check is dropped in the mail, it will be a business check. All signs point to that day being over the horizon.

Not that no efforts are afoot to squeeze business checks out of the payments system. At least a dozen companies around the world are trying to automate business payments with so-called order-to-pay software systems, including, in the U.S., Bottomline Technologies, Harbor Payments, and Xign Corp.. Various business payment card systems continue to emanate from the nation’s banks. And advocates of routing business payments through the automated clearinghouse have been working diligently at the task for years.

But checks remain stubbornly alive: According to the Federal Reserve's landmark 2004 Payments Study, total check volumes between 2000 and 2003 only declined from 41.9 billion items to 36.7 billion items. And according to the US Census Bureau's 2005 Statistical Abstract of the United States, consumer payments made by check between 2000 and 2003 only declined from 28.8 billion items to 26.8 items. The 10 billion item difference, says a Fed spokesman, can be considered business checks. This suggests some little progress in squeezing paper out of the system, but no reason to write checks’ obituary.

The most progress in eliminating paper checks is seemingly being made in online bill payment. According to the American Banker’s Association, less than half of all consumer bills—49 percent—were paid by check in 2005, compared with 72 percent in 2001. Since bills represent a large fraction of consumer checks written, this suggests an accellerating trend away from consumer checks,.

But if civilians seem to be edging away from checks, business is apparently sticking to the tried-and-true. This is actually counterintuitive, since businesses would seem to have a lot to gain by giving up paper checks, if only for efficiency’s sake, while civilians, who get free checking, have no such incentives.

As usual, things look different once you’re in the weeds. In this case, a superficial analysis ignores simple balance-of-power and treasury-management issues, not to mention the tyranny of sheer habit.

Aside from sheer convenience, consumers have little to gain from paying their bills online, but as indicated by the numbers, that matter alone–combined with minor carrots and sticks from billers and banks–seems to have turned the tide.

Businesses, on the other hand, not only have a lot more power in their financial relationships than a typical consumer, but also are loath, to say the least, to abandon a treasury-management game that businesses have been playing since prehistory: demand immediate payments (even prepayment), but don’t pay yourself until the sheriff is coming up the driveway; meanwhile, use the float for a hundred purposes.

The irony is that the vendors of order-to-pay software systems can make a very good argument that discarding those old-fashioned treasury-management techniques is good business. Companies using order-to-pay systems, they say, free up working capital from their balance sheets, and that what they lose in float, they more than gain from being able to pinpoint exactly how much money they have on hand.

Tom Glassanos, for instance, president and chief executive of Xign Corp., points out that 19 Fortune 500 companies use his firm’s order-to-pay products, including Charles Schwab & Co., MetLife, Pacific Gas & Electric, and The Williams Companies.

But even he will concede that not every company thinks order-to-pay is a good thing. "There are good reasons why this hasn’t happened yet and continues to go slow,” he says. “There’s a certain (business) population that would like to get on board, but can’t get remittances across. And there’s a lot of work involved in telling your suppliers that you’re going to pay them via ACH instead of by check.”

The result, says Glassanos, is that “Just to get it to work, they find out, seems to them to be a lot more work than the value they get back, and they also have to deal with losing some float. So when they add the plus and negative columns, it doesn’t come out to be all that different, and they decide to go with what they’ve been doing.”

Banks are likewise not overly enthusiastic about the order-to-pay idea, except for US Bank, which has a patented order-to-pay product it calls PowerTrack. Even Glassanos concedes that only one bank uses his stuff, JP Morgan Chase & Co., which uses Xign in conjunction with Vastera, the trade receivables system which it bought early last year. Glassanos says two other big banks have recently signed on, but that he couldn’t disclose their names at NB’s press time.

Why the slow uptake at banks? The reasons are pretty simple. Banks make too much money from the various fees attached to business checking to embrace order-to-pay; for one thing, when you can charge your customer for removing every paper clip in a pile of checks, it’s a hard business to give up. For another, there’s no reason to expect checks to be disappearing anytime soon, so there’s little reason to close a profitable department, especially when most banks’ revenues are under pressure in the first place. And, banks tend to view change as something that has to be adapted to the bank’s interests, leading banks to come up with ideas that make sense for the bank, and not necessarily for the customer.

Card-based corporate payments systems, like Bank of America’s new ePayables product, are a good example. Cards would seem to answer a lot of problems for corporations, including digital data streams, easy tracking, and a means to mimic traditional pay-at-the-last-minute treasury-management games.

There’s only one fly in this particular ointment: The payee has to pay to get their money, in the form of interchange. The alternative would be to accept a discounted invoice in order to get paid early. “If you’ve been paying cash or check or anything for a transaction, the payor has been footing the bill, but here the recipient is paying for the transaction,” an unappealing prospect at best, says Penny Gillespie, president of Gillespie International, and one that payees can easily block.

Looked at this way, it’s not surprising that checks will likely linger—some would say malinger—for many more years. But there’s another reason, one that many overlook: Most businesses aren’t the Williams Companies or Pacific Power & Lights of the world. According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2001 Statistics of U.S. Business, only 26,000 companies had sales over $50 million, out of a total of 5.5 million; and only 103,000 of America’s 4.9 million firms that have any employees at all had more than 100 employees, although those larger companies employed 74 million of the nation’s 115 million workers.

That’s the real rub. There are some 5 million companies in the U.S. that have little time to  automate their accounts payable and receivables departments, which means that trying to sell them an order-to-pay system is a waste of time. At a minimum, the annual return on such a system is not enough to make a compelling case for expensive, complicated software. And payment cards likewise have little application, since smaller companies tend to pay higher discount rates.

This being the case, banks aren’t foolish to hold on to their business checking departments. And your local Postman probably isn’t headed for the unemployment line. (Contact: Xign Corp., 925-469-9446; Gillespie International Inc., Penny Gillespie, 703-815-0706)

 

Banking the MySpace Generation

Myspace_logoThere are 63,198,783 members in MySpace as of 9:45 am Pacific Time today. Even if you subtract 25 million or so phony entries, you still have a vast audience, making it the fifth-most popular place online (trailing only Yahoo, Microsoft, Google, and eBay).

And it’s not all teenagers. According to the member search, there are 1,054 male and 634 female members aged 45 to 50 within five miles of my Seattle home. Of course, in the same vicinity there are 2,958 22-year-old males and more than 3,000 females of the same age (search results stop after 3,000 hits), so it definitely skews younger.

Financial institution opportunities
Forget about the over-30 crowd, you already understand what they need. But what about the younger group, the 21-and-over post-college crowd just starting jobs and beginning a 70+ year stretch of consuming financial services. What do they want in a bank?

Ultimately, they want what their parents want: safe storage of funds, convenient payment alternatives, access to substantial credit, and fair prices.

So far nothing new here. But how you attract these young consumers will be very different than how you acquired their parents. For example:

  • Branches will have far less marketing impact: This is probably the biggest difference from past generations; that good-looking branch at the corner of First and Main will NOT automatically get you a 25% share of new hires in your neighborhood. Today’s new college grad is much more likely to do a Google search on "yourtown banks," check out your website, and if they like what they see, sign up for an account. Your branch network will only be an afterthought; nice to have, but not a key part of the decision.
  • Website must be clean and fresh: Since your bank’s first impression will come from its online presence, you must keep investing to ensure a website, and features, that at least match the competition. You don’t let your landscaping go to seed in front of the branch, so why would you not tend your website in the same careful manner?
  • Electronic communications channels: How does a 22-year old want to communicate with his/her bank? Think instant messaging from the PC, text messaging from the cell phone, and the ability to post questions for peer response. Email is also important for less timely information exchange, such as daily statement summaries and other account updates.
  • Intuitive online products: Anyone under 25, who’s come of age in the Internet era, expects to handle routine matters online. From a bank, they expect simple and instant funds transfer and bill payment to anyone at any location, including account-to-account transfers. They want plastic for purchase (primarily debit) and a reasonable line of credit backing their checking account. They expect online archives measured in years, not months.

A note on pricing
Like their parents (and grandparents), they don’t expect to pay much, if anything, for these services. Free non-interest checking will continue to be required, but add-on fees for premium services should be acceptable. They will also be less price-sensitive for revolving credit, so position that 15% overdraft line of credit as a major part of the business case. 

Advertising at MySpace
That brings us back to MySpace, a surprisingly non-commercial site at this time. But we expect that to change slowly over time as its owners, Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation, which paid $580 million for the site last year, work on ways to make a return on that investment.

Myspace_greenday_searchThe company is currently earning revenues from a single banner across most pages, a few smaller ads in certain areas such as Films, a large ad near the top of each member’s home page, plus Overture-served keyword ads for its site search and Web search (click on screenshot for a closeup of the search results page for the band "Green Day"). The site also has a classified section that looks a lot like Craigslist, but is sparsely used, at least in the Seattle area.

For financial institutions, the main opportunity is traditional banner and display advertising. Today we saw banners from LendingTree, E*Trade and H&R Block (and AARP, was that a mistake?) But there is likely room for at least one or more financial institutions to strike deals with the company to become a preferred provider of banking services, with a premium position within the site, perhaps on the main navigation strip (think Amazon tabs), or in some yet-to-be-conceived commercial spot within the social networking site.

–JB

Credit Report Marketers are Faster than Google!

In thousands of searches using Google and other search engines, I’ve succeeded in stumping them a few times, receiving no results on my search expression.

Vantagescore_googleHowever, today I saw something I’d never witnessed before. A Google search for "VantageScore," the new joint credit score from Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax (NetBanker March 14) returned the following (click on the inset for a closeup):

  • Zero mentions of the term
  • Two ads placed against a search term that returned zero documents (click on inset for closeup).

But I guess it had to happen: savvy credit report marketers are moving faster than Google’s spider to lay claim to a new term.

JB

OBR #127 Now Available for Download

Obr_iconThe latest Online Banking Report, Person-to-Person Lending: Does the eBay model lend itself to consumer credit (OBR #127) is now available for download. The 36-pages take a close look at the recently launched Prosper Marketplace (NB Feb. 6, 2005) and the market for person-to-person lending in general.

Online Banking Report and All-Access Subscribers will receive the printed report next week.

JB

 

New Credit Score Creates More FUD

Vantagescore_logoFUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) is a strong motivator, especially when it has something to do with your personal financial situation.

As much as financial institutions strive to maintain the perception of safety and soundness, they often benefit from the concerns and resulting risk-averse behavior of their customers.

Case in point: credit reports and identity theft protection. Sure, it’s relatively simple to request a credit report every six months to make sure the credit bureaus have accurate info on file under your name. The problem with this approach: it takes time, you must pass rigorous authentication tests each time, you have to remember to do it proactively, and once you successfully access your report, you have to figure out what it all means.

One of the more confusing aspects of the credit report world is the various credit scores available. Each of the three major credit bureaus offer a proprietary score, but the most common one, used by 75% of mortgage originators, is from Fair Isaac, whose FICO score is almost a household word.

Vantagescore_homepageThe new VantageScore is designed to simplify the confusing credit score landscape. Released today, it’s a joint effort from the three major credit bureaus, Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax, who worked together to create a single score incorporating information in all three databases. The new product will be marketed by a separate entity, VantageScore Solutions LLC, <vantagescore.com> a joint venture from the three companies (click on inset for a closer look).

Rather than the 800-point scale in use today, the VantageScore will use a more common academic letter-grade scale as follows:

900-990 A
801-900 B
701-800 C
601-700 D
501-600 F

Analysis
While it should help bring more clarity to the credit score in the long term, the immediate effect is more confusion with a new name, additional marketing campaigns, and a new grading scale. This should be good for financial institutions that can use the raised awareness and heightened concerns to sell their own credit-monitoring services, which can be a solid source of monthly fee revenue.

We’ll be taking a close look at the market during the next six weeks as we research and author an update to our 2002 analysis of the credit report-monitoring opportunity (refer to Online Banking Report #83/84).

JB

Capital One Buys North Fork Bank

Capital One Financial Corp. will be one of the nation’s 10 biggest banks based on deposits and managed loans when it buys Long Island’s $57.6 billion North Fork Bancorporation for $14.6 billion in cash and stock.

That Capital One has turned itself into a national depository institution with branches and checking accounts is yet another indication, if one is needed, that credit cards are no longer a stand-alone business.

The deal gives Capital One a toehold in the lucrative New York market, and apparent expansion prospects there. It also builds on last year’s $5.3 billion acquisition of Hibernia Bank, which closed in mid-November. According to Capital One’s 10-K, Hibernia experienced what it called substantial growth in deposits after Hurricane Katrina.

Unremarked by media coverage was the irony that a business that’s still very profitable apparently feels it needs a cheap source of funds, and customers to sell to, in order to weather the many challenges now threatening its core competency.

Unremarked by the media, perhaps, but not by the stock market, which didn’t respond well to the news: Capital One stock, which closed on Friday, March 10, at about $90, closed on Monday March 13, the day of the announcement, at $83.10, and at $82 the next day. Morgan Stanley’s Kenneth Posner estimated in an investment advisory that the deal was neutral to Capital One earnings, and allowed Capital One modest synergies from the deal, worth $400 million in strategic value at best. He recommended buying on Monday if shares fell.

Standard & Poor’s said in a note that it felt the deal was priced fairly at about 15 times their 2006 earnings estimate for North Fork of $2.08 per share, and a price/book ratio of 1.6 times earnings. “We thought the recent weakness (in North Fork stock, prompted by concerns about its deep exposure to residential mortgages) presented investors with an attractive entry point. Apparently, Capital One arrived at the same conclusion,” wrote the note’s authors, Jason Seo and Mark Hebeka.

At least Capital One was acting out of relative strength: Its 2005 net income was $18 billion, up from $15.4 billion in 2004. But the company clearly felt it was wise, at a minimum, to continue diversifying away from credit cards. Capital One’s year-end credit card balances were $19.7 billion, compared with $20.5 billion in 2004, and average loan balances fell in 2005 to $12.07 billion, compared with 2004’s $12.24 billion. Interchange revenues grew to $514 million, compared with 2004’s $475 million. On a managed basis, Capital One reported $105.5 billion in outstanding loans, compared with $79.8 billion in 2004. Hibernia’s results were not included in Capital One’s 2005 results.

The company was clearly acting defensively, and recognizing that future growth in the credit card sector will be nothing like what it was only a few years ago—even for a company as well managed as Capital One—and that it won’t be again, anytime soon.

“(The deal) says a lot about their future as an entity,” says Michael Auriemma, president of Auriemma Consulting. “I’m not sure I’d have predicted they’d be buying banks, but there’s a strong realization that credit cards belong in an institution with retail customers—the amount of information- and data-sharing synergies by having both is phenomenal, and credit cards are challenged in terms of growth of new acquisitions these days.”

Capital One apparently has no bone to pick on that score. In its recent 10-K, it said that “The competitive environment is currently intense for credit card products. Industry mail volume has increased substantially in recent years, resulting in declines in response rates to the Company’s new customer solicitations over time. Additionally, the increase in other consumer loan products, such as home equity loans, puts pressure on growth throughout the credit card industry. These competitive pressures remain significant as a result of, among other things, increasing consolidation within the industry.”

Auriemma thinks, though, that Capital One can continue to be highly successful in the future. “There’s a lot of room to make a lot of money, and to grow your credit card business without growing new accounts,” he says. This, he says, includes building bigger balances, increasing consumer spending, and using the data from the payments stream to cross-sell other products to credit card customers. “This (deal) is less about new customer acquisition and more about managing existing customers, looking for a funding source, and diversifying revenues.”

By remaining on the offensive, Capital One apparently also hopes to keep Wall Street happy, and itself independent. Aside from Advanta Bank Corp., which reported 2005 net income from continuing operations of $116.7 million, America’s other monoline banks, once wildly profitable businesses, are gone with the wind. And Capital One itself isn’t entirely safe from acquisition; its float is only $25 billion, so it could clearly be bought by a large bank. Last year, Bank of America bought MBNA for about $35 billion in cash and stock, and other large banks—Wachovia Corp., for one—have said they’re interested in getting back into the credit card business.

North Fork reported 2005 net income of $948 million on revenues of $3.48 billion, and more than doubled its asset base after two 2004 acquisitions—Greenpoint Financial and The Trust Company of New Jersey. It has 360 branches in the New York area, including in northern New Jersey, and, according to Standard & Poor’s, it has about 4.8 percent of the area’s deposits. When the deal, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, closes in the fourth quarter, its top executives stand to get a payout of about $288 million, including chief executive John Kanas, who could receive as much as $185 million. Kanas joined the bank in 1971 and became president and chief executive in 1977. (Contact: Auriemma Consulting Inc., Michael Auriemma, 516-333-4800; Capital One Bank, 804-284-5800; North Fork Bank, 631-531-2058)

Checks Aren’t Disappearing Tomorrow: Deal with It

Reports of imminent death aside, checks aren’t vanishing, and banks need to deal with a future still filled with paper.

For one thing, people—and, especially, businesses—will keep writing them. And the efforts in the banking world have been more to electronify checks than replace them with electronic payments. So while the various methods of squeezing paper out of check processing are making progress, the day when there are no checks is far away, says Alenka Grealish, manager of Celent Communications’ banking practice.

“I don’t think we’re going to be around” when checks vanish, says Grealish, so check processing will persist. “Somebody has to be around to be the last resort—the person processing the last 100 checks.”

While people and businesses continue writing checks almost unabated, fewer of them are being processed every day: According to Grealish’s research, check processing, which has declined by 7.5 percent on a compounded annualized growth rate (CAGR) since 2002, will further decline by a 9.5 percent CAGR between now and 2010.

But even when 90 percent of checks are electronically processed, and Grealish expects that day to come by 2010, plenty of checks will still flow through the system—at least 20 billion, or 80 million a day, compared with about 33.5 billion in 2004, she estimates. So even under the most optimistic scenario, banks will need to be able to process paper checks well into the future: The event horizon for a checkless world is, at best, indeterminate.

Not to say that pressure won’t keep building to minimize paper checks: Among other factors militating against paper checks, processing costs will keep rising, and transport options will keep shrinking, until the sheer economics of check processing will drive much processing into the hands of a few third-party outsourcers with enough volume to make a living out of a business that was once the average bank’s meat and potatoes.

But meanwhile, and try as they may, banks won’t be able to punish their customers enough to stop all of them from writing checks. Ghoulish as it may sound, the banking system qua system is going to have to wait until check writers who are now 50 or 60 die off, which guarantees that on the retail side alone, checks have at least another 20 years of life in them.

Meanwhile, getting businesses to stop writing checks is almost a fool’s errand. For one thing, the game of treasury management is built around checks, the post office, and float. For another, the accounts system of the typical business is still what you could call a paper-rich environment, and not every business is big enough to profit from the agony a wholesale switching to computerized systems entails. Also, even if every large corporation switched to a fully computerized accounts system tomorrow, rivers of paper checks would still flow from the nation’s small businesses. And lawyers are very attached to paper receipts, whether or not electronic ones are admissible in court.

Banks are just as bad as check writers, she adds. Business checks are a fee-generating cash-cow for banks, and even the most enthusiastic advocate of electronic payments would be hard put to convince a typical bank to abjure business check processing in a period when almost every revenue source is under attack by technology and non-bank competitors.

Still, Grealish says there are ways to encourage even businesses to write fewer checks, and eventually whittle down the volume. “There are carrots and sticks,” she says. “Banks can offer economic incentives to customers to move to electronic payments. And I think the big cash-management banks will develop products that reflect the attributes of a check, but are electronic,” like a procurement card that replicates controlled disbursement and replicates the float.

There are other factors working against a long, prosperous future for checks, she thinks. While no bank has to pay a penalty for accepting only paper payments, notes Grealish, three significant trends are conspiring to discourage the practice, aside from rising processing costs.

These include the aforementioned decline in the number of air couriers specializing in checks: Grealish expects costs to skyrocket as much as 10 percent per year as a result. Also, she points out, rising short-term interest rates inflate the cost of float: She estimates that 50 extra basis points in the federal funds rate means an extra $50 per $1 million in float for a bank.

Added to this will be that generally increasing processing cost: The Federal Reserve, for instance, has been trimming check processing facilities and raising processing prices for the past several years. Costs like that should increase as much as 23 percent by 2010, she estimates. Also, says Grealish, third-party processors will gradually stop supporting paper-based processing technology over the next five years. The result of all these pressures will be a marked diminishment of paper in the system within four years, she says.

Don’t expect paper checks to vanish, though. Paper checks, diminished in numbers or not, will be with us for a long time. It’s like what actor Art Carney’s character said in one of his last movies, Harry and Tonto: “Nothing ever changes in this town—they just move the names around.” (Contact: Celent Communications, Alenka Grealish, 503-228-0878)

M&A Finance Corner

This week’s dealing and wheeling.

JP Morgan Chase & Co. is buying Kohl’s Corp.’s private label credit card accounts and associated outstanding balances for an expected $1.5 billion in cash. The exact price will equal the receivables balances at the closing date. Kohl’s will continue handling customer service, advertising, and marketing for the portfolio, and gets an unstated percentage of future payments. All Kohl’s credit card employees remain employees of Kohl’s. The retailer, which operates 741 stores in 41 states, expects to open about 500 stores over the next five years; it hopes to be operating more than 1,200 stores by the end of 2010. (Contact: JP Morgan Chase & Co., 212-270-7013; Kohl’s Corp., 262-703-1893)

E-monee.com Inc. has merged with Coffaro Family Products Inc. and will be operating under the E-monee name. Terms were not disclosed. E-monee,which had been privately held, now trades on the Pink Sheets under the Coffaro Family Products ticker symbol, CFRF. It has a mobile banking platform aimed at the unbanked that E-monee calls its Global Electronic Treasury System. For the 2004 fiscal year, E-monee reported $1.6 million in assets and a net loss of ($140,526). The merged company’s stock closed on March 17 at $0.32. (Contact: E-monee.com Inc., 954-229-3011)

Obopay says it raised $10 million in first-round funding from investors that include Redpoint Ventures, ONSET Ventures, and New York-based Richmond Management. Obopay has a mobile payments platform that lets subscribers get, send and spend money from their cell phones. (Contact: Obopay, 866-262-7373)

Personnel Moves from MasterCard, Optimal Group and Asia Payment Systems

Who’s gone where this week at MasterCard, Optimal Group, and Asia Payment Systems.

Javier Perez was named president of MasterCard Europe, effective March 10. Perez reports to MasterCard’s chief operating officer, Alan Heuer. Perez joined MasterCard in 1996 and has been president of MasterCard’s Latin America and Caribbean Region since 2004. (Contact: MasterCard Int’l, 914-249-5622)

Mitchell Garber resigned from Montreal, Canada-based Optimal Group Inc. on March 6 to pursue other opportunities. Garber was executive vice-president of Optimal Group, president and chief executive officer of Optimal Payments Inc. and executive chairman of FireOne Group PLC. Benjamin Dalfen, previously director and chief operating officer of FireOne Group PLC, was promoted to chief executive officer of FireOne Group, and Douglas Lewin became president of Optimal Payments. Lewin had been director and executive vice-president of Optimal Payments Inc. (Contact: Optimal Group Inc., 514-738-8885)

Rosaline Tam is joining the board of Hong Kong-based Asia Payment Systems Inc. Tam, a long-time payments veteran, replaces Matt Mecke, who resigned from the board. (Contact: Asia Payment Systems Inc., 760-918-5592)