Financial advisor, author, and CNBC commentator Josh Brown raised a few eyebrows this week when he told viewers that he thought that cryptocurrencies were entering a new phase, a phase that could spell the end of the crypto winter.
“This week, I think, with all of these new developments, really forces you to look back and say, ‘What’s really going on here? Why are these people running into a burning building” Brown asked. He referred to the passion for cryptocurrencies as “unkillable.”
Is Brown right? Let’s take a look at the latest round of reasons why the so-called crypto winter could turn out to deliver a milder season than many suspect.
Bitcoin breaks $30k
Prices for the leading cryptocurrency have been in a bear market since at least the fall of 2021 – though cryptoholders have been experiencing more than a little investment indigestion since the spring of that year. And while BTC has much more to go before it nears its old highs north of $60,000, the cryptocurrency has been on a tear since putting in a low in November 2022 just under $18,000. As of June 21st – the longest day of the year – BTC is up more than 90% from its November low. Ethereum, the other most-widely traded cryptocurrency has also performed well in 2023: ETC is up more than 56% year to date.
Many observers are pointing out that much of the velocity of the moves in these leading cryptocurrencies is due to traders who are now covering their earlier – profitable – bets against the assets. Nevertheless, market turnarounds are often initiated not by new participants coming off the sidelines, but by those already in the game deciding to change direction. And sometimes that’s all a new bull market needs to get going.
BlackRock, Invesco, WisdomTree pursue bitcoin ETFs
The news that some of the heaviest hitters in the exchange-traded fund business have expressed interest in bringing BTC to the ETF party is as strong an indication as any that crypto’s fortunes in the near-term may be brightening.
Last week we learned that BlackRock, a major, $9 trillion asset manager, is seeking to launch a spot bitcoin ETF – the iShares Bitcoin Trust – and has filed paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to do so. Investment management firm Invesco – which previously sought to launch a bitcoin futures ETF in 2021 but was beat to the market by ProShares – is back for a second bite of the apple. The company has teamed up with Galaxy Digital to apply for a spot bitcoin ETF – the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF. And lastly, WisdomTree has applied for approval to launch its WisdomTree Bitcoin Trust on the CBOE BZX Exchange.
The stated objectives for the funds vary. WisdomTree highlighted the value of providing investors with exposure to the price of Bitcoin in traditional investment accounts. Invesco and BlackRock both noted that a Bitcoin ETF would serve as a safer alternative for would-be investors leery of cryptocurrency brokerages and exchanges in the wake of the FTX and related crypto-scandals.
New crypto exchange EDX launches
The launch of a new crypto exchange may not seem like big news. But given the pessimism surrounding the industry (“crypto winter” anyone?), it is especially noteworthy that entrepreneurs in the crypto space continue to forge ahead.
New Jersey-based EDX Markets launched its digital asset market this week. The digital asset marketplace provides investors with a trusted, efficient, and liquidy cryptocurrency trading environment. EDX offers competitive quotes and a non-custodial model designed to manage potential conflicts of interest. The company also provides a retail-only quote for crypto, enabling investors and traders to take advantage of better pricing for retail-originated orders. Participants can trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash on the platform.
The launch of EDX comes as the company secures new funding and additional strategic investors. The amount of the funding was not disclosed. The company did say that the capital will help EDX further develop its trading platform.
“We are committed to bringing the best of traditional finance to cryptocurrency markets, with an infrastructure built by market experts to embed key institutional best practices,” EDX CEO Jamil Nazarali said.
Deustche Bank applies for digital asset custody license in Germany
It’s no secret that cryptocurrencies are feeling more love outside the United States than they are inside the country. Another example of this comes from Germany as we learn this week that Deutsche Bank is seeking a digital asset license. The goal of the country’s largest bank is to leverage digital assets to expand its revenue streams, according to reporting in Bloomberg.
Apparently, Deutsche Bank’s announcement is the latest in a series of slow, cautious steps toward embracing digital assets. The firm’s corporate banking division has been considering digital asset-related services as an option for the past few years. But no firm timeline had ever been offered. This week, we have a destination, if not an itinerary. The head of the bank’s commercial banking unit David Lynne confirmed that the financial institution is building a “digital assets and custody business” and has applied to Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) in order to receive license to do so.
American crackdown: darkest before dawn?
It may be overly contrarian to suggest that some of the worst news for crypto’s present in recent weeks and months might also be some of the best news from crypto’s future. Many crypto backers lament the SEC’s aggressive policing of Coinbase and the growing share of crypto that is just Bitcoin. But it is possible that this is just the long, arduous process toward eventual regulation. This may mean, at least initially, a time for better, fewer digital assets and better, fewer crypto-related businesses. And while other regions than the U.S. are presently showing more enthusiasm and support for crypto, as with other financial innovations like open banking and instant payments, I’m convinced that once crypto does finally get moving again, the U.S., in its own way, will not hesitate to climb on board.
