I’ve received dozens of 2024 fintech trends prediction pitches in my email inbox over the past month. And while many of them are insightful, I wanted to see what our AI overlord ChatGPT had to say about the matter.
My prompt read, “What are your predictions for the top five newest and hottest trends in fintech for 2024?” Here is how the AI responded:
Predicting the exact trends for 2024 is speculative, but here are potential emerging trends in fintech:
- Embedded Finance: Further integration of financial services into non-financial platforms like e-commerce, SaaS, and marketplaces. This trend will offer users seamless access to financial products within their daily activities.
- Metaverse Finance: With the growing popularity of the metaverse, fintech might explore virtual currencies, digital assets, and decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions tailored for this space.
- AI-Powered Personalization: Enhanced AI-driven tools for hyper-personalized financial recommendations, wealth management, and banking services. AI will further analyze vast datasets to offer tailored financial advice.
- Climate and Sustainable Finance: Continued growth in green finance, impact investing, and ESG-driven financial products as consumers and investors prioritize sustainability.
- Regulatory Evolution: Fintechs navigating evolving regulations, especially around data privacy, digital currencies, and open banking. Compliance and adapting to regulatory changes will remain crucial.
As usual, ChatGPT not only did a pretty good job, but it also sounds pretty convincing. And while there are truly no blatant errors in the prediction, it could be better. Here’s what’s wrong or what’s missing in each of the five predictions.
ChatGPT was spot on. It is quite obvious that this will be a big trend in 2024. Why? Because it’s a big trend right now. However, this is more of a continuation of a current trend rather than a new trend in 2024. Also, ChatGPT failed to mention the role that regulation will likely play in embedded finance next year, especially in the U.S. That’s because partner banks have become more wary to partner with fintechs after the FDIC issued a consent order to Cross River Bank, saying that it was involved in unsound banking practices. Where there is opportunity, there is liability.
ChatGPT was wrong. This is one trend that can be thrown away with all of those 2023 desk planners out there. The metaverse offered a fun distraction during the pandemic, when the industry was obsessed with moving all of a bank’s operations to digital channels. However, most consumers lack interest in moving their lives to the metaverse, and banks have realized that their investments in more traditional channels are more likely to pay off.
This is another win for ChatGPT. However, personalization is not the only AI-powered aspect of banking and fintech that will surge in 2024. Many organizations are now turning toward generative AI, which has the potential to produce creative outputs for generating investment strategies, designing financial products, building marketing campaigns, simulating data to predict market movements, simulating economic scenarios, or stress-testing financial systems.
Climate and Sustainable Finance
While I want to believe ChatGPT on this prediction, I wouldn’t list it among the top five trends for 2024. There are two major reasons why sustainable finance will take a backseat (though not disappear) next year. First, the high cost of capital has both banks and fintechs searching for new revenue opportunities. Given this high interest rate environment, firms are more focused on direct cost-saving and revenue growth initiatives such as AI. Second, in many geographies, regulation has not caught up with sustainability initiatives. This lack of regulation and industry standards makes it difficult for organizations to pose definitive claims about what they are doing for the environment.
This is absolutely among the top trends I have my eye on for 2024. Again, this is a continuation of a current trend and not a new development, but it will remain at the forefront in fintech next year. ChatGPT cited regulatory changes across data privacy, digital currencies, and open banking. In regards to open banking, the CFPB released its notice of proposed rulemaking to implement Section 1033 of Dodd-Frank earlier this year and made clear that it will issue the final regulation in the fall of 2024.
One piece that ChatGPT left off its list of anticipated regulatory changes is the formalization of rules around buy now, pay later (BNPL) companies. As consumers rely on BNPL payment technologies as an alternative to traditional credit models, regulators in both the U.S. and the U.K. have announced their intent to formalize regulation in the space.