As noted in our recent research report on the P2P lending market (here), the exchanges need to boost revenues to remain viable. Even with scale, a 1% borrower fee and 1% servicing fee just don't provide enough revenue with the relatively small loan sizes currently being funded.
For example, using Prosper's previous pricing on a typical $7,000 loan, about $130 would be earned in the first year, then another $50 for the remaining two years of the loan (see note 1), for a maximum of $230 in lifetime revenues per loan.
So until loan sizes increase dramatically as secured notes become more common, Prosper has raised its prices for the core portion of its loan demand, the alt-prime and subprime portion. The company left its superprime, class AA price alone because it competes with banks and credit unions for this type of borrower.
As you can see from the table below, most loan-origination fees increased by 1 point, although C and D loans were increased 2 points. Looking at the company's mix of business during the first half of 2007, the new pricing would have doubled its loan-origination revenue from about $500,000 to just over $1 million. The weighted average fee under the prior pricing was 1.2%, compared to 2.4% under the new formula.
Here's the new price plan effective Jan 4, 2008, as announced in the Prosper blog (here):
Type New Price Previous Change Avg Loan* Avg Loan Fee*
Prime
AA 1% 1% none $9,000 $90
A 2% 1% +1 point $10,300 $210
Near Prime
B 2% 1% +1 point $9,800 $200
C 3% 1% +2 points $8,400 $250
D 3% 1% +2 points $6,500 $195
Sub-prime
E 3% 2% +1 point $4,500 $135
HR 3% 2% +1 point $3,000 $90Weighted
Average*** 2.4% 1.2%*Average loan size during the first half of 2007 per company
**Loan-origination fee deducted from proceeds of loan; there is no fee if the loan does not get funded
***Using the loan mix from the first half of 2007
Note:
1. It depends how the servicing fee is calculated. At Prosper, it's calculated on the outstanding loan balance which for a $7,000 loan averages approximately $6,000 in year 1, $3,750 in year 2 and $1,250 in year 3.